We're back on the horse and playin' today's card at Churchill Downs! It's gonna be a great day in Kentucky as we get ready for Oaks Day (tomorrow) and, of course, the Kentucky Derby on Saturday! In the meantime, we've got you covered with our #LundinLine top picks and best bets below. Let's have ourselves a Thursday and get #InTheMoney!
Churchill Downs // 03-September
Lundin Line
R1: 4-1-5-3 R2: 4-7-6-3 R3: 6-4-1 R4: 8-4-2-6
R5: 7 R6: 1-10-3 R7: 4-7-1-3
R8*: 3
R9: 2-9-6-1
R10*: 10-6-1-7
R11: 7
*Stakes
Lundin Line Best Bets
R5: [7] Angel of Mischief
Angel of Mischief comes into today’s race off a win at Indiana Grand on July 29th. Since earning her highest Speed figure of 97 on February 9th at Gulfstream, she has have been earning figures in the nineties and leads this field of 11 with an average Speed figure of 94. She also leads the field in early (104) and finish (94) Pace Ratings. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione over the last 10 days is winning at 23% with a +43% ROI and Trainer Eddie Kenneally’s horses coming off a Win are wining at 21%. Angel of Mischief opens the day at 3-1 odds.
R7: [4] Windcracker
Windcracker makes his third career start start today for Trainer Thomas Amoss. He finished 3rd in his first race on June 27th at Churchill. In that race, Medicine Tail who finished 2nd went on to win his next race. In his second race on Aug. 1st at Saratoga, he finished 2nd. He leads this field of 12 with a 76 average Speed figure. Trainer Thomas Amoss with his 2 year olds, is ITM 63% and Jockey Tyler Gaffalione over the last 10 days is winning at 23% with a +43% ROI. Windcracker's morning line is 5/2.
R9: [2] Explorer
Explorer broke his maiden in his first career start (5/18/18) and then went on to record 3 consecutive 2nd place finishes and is coming off a Win at Churchill on June 23rd., a race that saw Loopallu, Seven Nation Army and Absolutely Alden go on to win in their next respective races. Explorer’s Win on 6/23 earned him his highest Speed figure of 110 and he comes into today’s race leading the field with an average Speed of 102. He also leads in early (105) and middle (101) Pace figures and is 2nd in finish pace (101). Explorer's morning line is 3-1.
R10: Pocahontas Stakes (GIII)
[10] Inject
Inject broker her maiden in first career race on Aug. 15th at Ellis Park and earned a Speed figure of 80 which is 2nd (average) for this field of 12. Inject is moving up in class for this Stakes race for 2 year olds. Trainer Stanley Hough is winning at 55% with 2 year olds and ITM 80% with his horses moving from a sprint to route race. Jockey Julien Leparoux over last 10 days in winning at 45%, ITM 73% with an +225% ROI. Inject opens the day at 5-2 odds.
R11: [7] The Angry Man
In his 5 career starts, The Angry Man has been ITM in 4 of those starts. He earned an impressive Speed figure (his highest) of 94 in his last race, a 3rd place finish at Saratoga on Aug. 21st. His average Speed figure of 88 leads this field of 14 and he also leads with a finish Pace Rating of 93. The Angry Man is used to short turnarounds between races and is also used to the distance with all but his first race (12/7/19) being a route race. The Angry Man opens the day at 2-1 odds, and we certainly are not angry at that.
Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us know what you think!
-TSL
/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors
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