Anyone want more NBA Playoffs? We do! We're watchin' the games today and have our #BucketLine picks for you below. Three Plays over two games. Raptors / Nuggets tip off at 2:30 Pacific. Let's hit the court and get #InTheMoney!
Bucket Line
*Toronto Raptors -120
*Jazz / Nuggets Over 217
*Denver Nuggets -110
Toronto Raptors Money Line -120
2:30 PM Pacific
We know, we know... the Raptors again on the money line? Really? Please hear us out. Boston scored 39 points in the first quarter and jumped out to a 20 point lead thanks in part to 47.2% from three-point range for the game, 13.4% higher than the Raptors gave up on average this season. The Raptors battled back many times and they were only outscored by two the final three quarters. The Raptors had to adjust their game plan from the get-go as Pascal Siakam picked up three quick fouls. The Raptors were the number transition offense in the league *averaging 18.7 ppg, but in game one they only scored 7. Fred VanVleet shot 18.7% from the field in game one which is well below his average of 41.2% for his career and 45.1% in this year’s playoffs. The Raptors had no chance to move up in the standings upon the restart, but still *finished 7-1 in seeding games and are 11-2 overall in the bubble. *For the season they are 46-10 straight up when they are favored, are above 80% straight up with one day rest and equal rest, and after a loss, the Raptors win 73.7% of the time. Finally, do not forget, Nick Nurse took this team its first NBA championship last season behind some great game plans and solid adjustments. We see the champs bouncing back for the win behind the improved shooting, adjusted game planning, and continuing their solid defense and are playing the Raptors ML -120. In fact, we'd play them as far down as -130. Raptors ML.
Utah Jazz / Denver Nuggets Over 217 Points
5:30 PM Pacific
This series has been back and forth like no other. The Jazz stormed back in game 1 after a slow start just to get blown out in OT. Then they win three games in a row and it looked like the series was over. Flash forward to today and two amazing Jamal Murray games later and we sit at game 7! *Denver is 13-1 to the over and in the bubble, the Jazz are 10-4 to the over in the bubble and the over is 5-1 in this series with an average of 234.3 ppg total which is an average of 21.8 points over the total. These two teams are not just hitting the over they are obliterating it. **Typically game 7 is lower scoring as teams are tired, know the other team better than ever, and are both looking to finish the other team off. Since 2003, the under is 28-19 however this is the first game 7 at a neutral site so we are in uncharted waters. We are bucking the game 7 history and following the bubble trends by playing over 217 total points. We'd play this up to 219.5. Jazz / Nuggets Over 217.
Denver Nuggets Money Line -110
5:30 PM Pacific
We were on the Nuggets when this series started and we are going to stick with them here. Can you say series MVP without mentioning Jamal Murray? We don’t think so because he is averaging nearly 50 ppg in the last three games. We built our case on Nikola Jokic in many games this series because, simply put, he is the Nuggets best player. Rudy Gobert was the DOP last year and he has done a good job at containing Jokic for the most part, but he won’t be stopped as he is averaging 25.7 ppg this series. If the Jazz want to win they will have to stop Murray, but that just leaves “The Joker” open to continue his stellar career and take game 7 over. The Nuggets were the better team coming into this series, they have all the momentum coming in today's game and they welcomed back Gary Harris in game 6. The Nuggets will take game 7 and we are playing them on the money line at -110. This is a solid play down to -120. Nuggets ML.
*Stats via Teamrankings.com
**Stats via The Action Network with special credit to Matt Moore
Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us what you think!
-TSL
/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors
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