We're back with more NBA Playoff action for you's today. We're 12-11 for -1U since 15-August with the play-in game and we're looking to improve today! Our #BucketLine picks are below including our game analysis. We've got 3 plays for you over two games for you today. Let's hit the court and get #InTheMoney!!
*Jazz / Nuggets Over 220
*Utah Jazz -3
*Clippers / Mavericks Over 236.5
Jazz / Nuggets Over 220, Utah Jazz -3
3:30 PM Pacific
The Jazz are looking to close out the Nuggets by winning their fourth game in a row after dropping game one in OT. This series history showed we should be playing the under in every game and the books saw it the same way. One thing the numbers did not take into account is the games these two play are typically far above sea level. With that in mind, we looked at the totals thus far and found the two teams are averaging a whopping 239 points per game and 231.5 per game in regulation. *In all games this year both teams are 53.9% to the over. *Since the NBA restart, Denver is 11-1 and the Jazz are 8-4 over the game total. Keeping all this in mind we will be playing the total over 220 for game 5.
Game 4 produced what most bettors and analysts call a bad beat as Jamal Murry put in a three as time expired to give the Nuggets a cover. The Nuggets still lost the game and looked outmatched for the majority of it. Denver has had multiple quarters in the series where they struggled to make buckets, seven quarters of 25 or fewer points, and three quarters of 20 or fewer points. To top it off the Jazz coming off a win *are 22-15-1 ATS which should have been slightly higher. In the past three games, all wins, the Jazz are 2-1 against the spread where again the bad beat stopped them from being 3-0. *The Nuggets are 16-20-1 ATS with equal rest, 11-12-1 as an underdog ATS and only 50% ATS in the bubble. Simply put, the Jazz are just the better team in this series. We look for the Jazz to close out this series and cover the -3 point spread. If you can find it for 2.5 grab, it before it moves back. Utah Jazz -3.
Los Angeles Clippers / Dallas Mavericks over 236.5
6:00 PM Pacific
Hammer the over! These teams are averaging 247 points a game in the series!!! *The over is 3-1 in this series, Clippers and Mavs are a combine 17-8 to the over in the bubble and both teams are above 55% to the over with one day of rest. Game one was the only game to not go over in the series and it can be directly attributed to the Mavs having a quarter with 13 points scored which is 10 points lower than their next lowest quarter excluding overtime. There is not much more we can say here except we see this game flying over 236.5 and will look for a possible live line bet to double down on this one. One more note: Porzingis was ruled out at 9 AM Pacific, so you may see this line come down and we encourage you to grab the best line possible on this game as well. Play Clippers / Mavs Over 236.5
*Stats provided by Teamrankings.com
Hit us up @TTSportsLines and let us what you think!
-TSL
/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical error
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