Sat., Apr. 3, 2021
Aqueduct Racetrack / Queens, NY
Race #11 @ 5:58 EDT
Wood Memorial Stakes (G2)
The Road To The KY Derby Points: 100-40-20-10
For our Lundin Line picks for ALLl the races today @ Aqueduct click HERE!
For our analysis of the Toyota Blue Grass S. @ Keeneland, click HERE! &
For our analysis of the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby, click HERE!
đđŸ# 1 Brooklyn Strong
(Wicked Strong / Riviera Chic)
M/L : 6/1
Like:
1) Won last two races (10/24 & the Remsen S. @ Aqu on Dec. 5th)
2) Earned highest Eq. Speed of 99 on Dec. 5th (1 1/8)
3) Trainer Daniel Velazquez in Stakes over the past year (11 starts) is Winning @ 36%
Don't Like:
1) 7th/9 in Middle & Finish Pace Rating
2) In 4 starts, only one Speed Fig. above 90
3) Trainer Velazquez has no starts with Jockey Manuel Franco
đđŸ# 2 Crowded Trade
(More Than Ready / Maude S)
M/L : 4/1
Like:
1) Won first race in Jan. & finished 2nd in the Gotham S. @ Aqu. on Mar. 6th (1 mi.)
2) Earned a very impressive 105 Speed Fig. @ the Gotham
3) Over last 10 days (28 starts), Jockey Eric Cancel is Winning @ 46% , ITM @ 71% with a +69% ROI
Don't Like:
1) Weak Early Pace of 72 (7th/9)
2) Only 3rd career start
đđŸ# 3 Bourbonic
(Bernardini / Dancing Afleet)
M/L : 30/1
Like:
1) ITM in last 3 races (Wins on Dec. 6th and Jan. 17th)
2) In last race on Feb. 23rd, earned highest Speed fig. of 88
3) Trainer Todd Pletcher in Stakes over past year (197 starts) is Winning @ 19%
Don't Like:
1) 8th/9 in Early, Middle & Finish Pace
2) 8th/9 in Avg. Speed
3) First Stakes & probably out of his league.
đđŸ# 4 Risk Taking
(Medaglia d'Oro / Run a Risk)
M/L : 5/2
Like:
1) Wins in last two races (last was G3 Withers S. @ Aqu (1 1/8) on Feb. 6th
2) Earned highest Speed (102) in the Withers Win
3) Over last 10 days (40 starts), Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. is Winning @ 23%
Don't Like:
1) Just middle of the pack in both Pace Ratings & Avg. Speed (84 - 5th/9)
đđŸ# 5 Dynamic One
(Union Rags / Beat the Drums)
M/L : 12/1
Like:
1) Won last race (80K Msw @ Aqu (1 1/8) on Mar. 7th
2) Avg. Speed is 87 which is 3rd/9
3) Over the past year (72 starts), Pletcher w/ Jockey Jose Ortiz are Winning @ 25% & ITM @ 56%.
Don't Like:
1) 9th of 9 in both Early & Middle Pace
2) First Stakes Race
3) Disappointing 4th place finish on Jan. 23rd @ GP in 50K Msw
đđŸ# 6 Prevalence
(Medaglia d'Oro / Enrichment)
M/L : 3/1
Like:
1) 2 back-to-back Wins to start his career.
2) Eq. Speed figures of 99 in first race (1/23) & 98 on 3/11
3) Over the last 10 days (29 starts), Jockey Tyler Gaffalione is Winning @ 21%
Don't Like:
1) 6th of 9 in both Early & Middle Pace Ratings
2) Moving Up In Class for his first Stakes race
3) Has not yet faced a strong challenge.
đđŸ# 7 Candy Man Rocket
(Candy Ride / Kenny Lane)
M/L : 12/1
Like:
1) Won the Sam F. Davis S. @ Tampa on Feb. 6th (1 1/16)
2) Trainer William Mott over the last 30 days (40 starts) is Winning @ 28%
3) Early & Middle Pace have him 2nd/9
Don't Like:
1) Terrible last race (11th/12) in S. Tampa Bay Derby on Mar. 6th
2) The 54 Speed in last race. & Avg. Speed of 76 (7th/9)
3) Finish Pace of 72 is 9th/9
đđŸ# 8 Weyburn
(Pioneer of the Nile / Sunday Affair)
M/L : 9/2
Like:
1) Wins in last 2 races (last was in the Gotham S. @ Aqu. on Mar. 6th (1 mi.)
2) Earned impressive 105 Speed fig. in the Gotham
3) At or near the top in Avg. Speed & Early, Middle & Finish Pace
Don't Like:
1) Only his 2nd race at 1+ miles
đđŸ# 9 Market Maven
(Super Ninety Nine / My Sonata)
M/L : 30/1
Like:
1) Wons last 2 races (last a 50K Aoc @ Parx on Feb. 23rd. (1 70 mi.)
2) Lead the field of 9 in Early & Middle Pace.
3) Earned highest Speed fig. of 94 in last race.
Don't Like:
1) Avg. Speed of 72 is 9th/9
2) Has never raced at Aqu. & 2/4 career races on synth. surface
3) Moving Up In Class to first Stakes race & looks to be outmatched.
Hit us up @_TurtleSports and let us know what you think!
-TSL
/ As always, please forgive any typos and grammatical errors
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